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Wednesday, January 28, 2004

I guess I was a little unclear in my point yesterday. My hypothetical situation was meant to illustrate how Pythagorean Wins overvalues runs scored when the game is already decided compared to the average run scored. In other words, having a bullpen catcher that mashes late September's AA-caliber pitching doesn't make your team any better or worse, as Run Differentials might predict.

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