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Monday, May 03, 2004

Don't Worry, I'm Still Alive 

What a hectic last couple of weeks. Finals are this week, so academic commitments have been piling up lately. In addition to a newly busy, uh, social calendar, Sox-1918 hasn't had the same level of attention that it has in the past. I haven't even listened to a M's game in a week or so.

A few weeks ago, someone in the blogosphere (I was thinking it was Jeff, but I couldn't find it in his archives, so maybe it was someone else) in passing mentioned the Hall of Fame Monitor scores on Baseball Reference and Albert Belle's score of 134.5. A score of over 100 means "likely Hall-of-Famer," so statistically, this means Belle should be a lock. The author of the post expressed surprise at this. A long-running argument of Pete's and mine is Belle's HOF worthiness, so I wanted to comment, even if it is a little bit late.

From the years 1992-1999, Albert Belle was one of the best few hitters in baseball. The players of comparable offensive value over that time period fall into three categories:

First-Ballot HOF'ers:

Barry Bonds
YearHRRBIAVGOBPSLGOPS
199234103.311.456.6241.080
199346123.336.458.6771.136
19943781.312.426.6471.073
199533104.294.431.5771.009
199642129.308.461.6151.076
199740101.291.446.5851.031
199837122.303.438.6091.047
19993483.262.389.6171.006


Mark McGwire
YearHRRBIAVGOBPSLGOPS
199242104.268.385.585.970
1993924.333.467.7261.193
1994925.252.413.474.887
19953990.274.441.6851.125
199652113.312.467.7301.198
199758123.274.393.6461.039
199870147.299.470.7521.222
199965147.278.424.6971.120


Ken Griffey Jr.
YearHRRBIAVGOBPSLGOPS
199227103.308.361.535.896
199345109.309.408.6171.025
19944090.323.402.6741.076
19951742.258.379.481.860
199649140.303.392.6281.020
199756147.304.382.6461.028
199856146.284.365.611.977
199948134.285.384.576.960


Mike Piazza
YearHRRBIAVGOBPSLGOPS
199242104.268.385.585.970
1993924.333.467.7261.193
1994925.252.413.474.887
19953990.274.441.6851.125
199652113.312.467.7301.198
199758123.274.393.6461.039
199870147.299.470.7521.222
199965147.278.424.6971.120


No one (at least no one that matters) would argue against the HOF candidacy of any of the above men. Just look at those numbers (and Piazza's a catcher!). Griffey and Bonds are two of the best outfielders ever, McGwire one of the greatest sluggers, and Piazza is probably the best hitting catcher ever.

Next category:

The Argument Could Certainly Be Made:

Edgar Martinez
YearHRRBIAVGOBPSLGOPS
19921873.343.404.544.948
1993413.237.366.378.744
19941351.285.387.482.869
199529113.356.479.6281.107
199626103.327.464.5951.059
199728108.330.456.5541.009
199829102.322.429.565.993
19992486.337.447.5541.001


Frank Thomas
YearHRRBIAVGOBPSLGOPS
199224115.323.439.536.975
199341128.317.426.6071.033
199438101.353.487.7291.217
199540111.308.454.6061.061
199640134.349.459.6261.085
199735125.347.456.6111.067
199829109.265.381.480.861
19991577.305 .414.471.885


We've heard the case for Edgar, and Thomas's follows a similar line of logic. I'd vote for both, but that's just me.

And now the final category (at least in terms of the voters' perception), with only one entry:

Stupid Jerk-Heads That Had No Business Playing This Game In The First Place:

Albert Belle
YearHRRBIAVGOBPSLGOPS
199234112.260.320.477.797
199338129.290.370.552.922
199436101.357.438.7141.152
199550126.317.401.6901.091
199648148.311.410.6231.033
199730116.274.332.491.823
199849152.328.399.6551.055
199937117.297.400.541.941


The only difference between Belle and the others is his rep. If he wasn't such a gaping asshole, we'd all be really sad that his career was cut short and be forecasting what his career numbers would have been with a couple more years of big league service. Speaking simply as a Mariners fan, I hid my eyes when Belle came up in his prime. Especially if Jeff Nelson was on the hill. Belle hit in the neighborhood of 8 thousand jacks against Nellie, travelling an average distance of 893.83 feet.

Albert Belle seemed to hate everybody equally -- teammates, umpires, opponents, fans, hot dog vendors, etc. Kind of like the drill sargeant in Full Metal Jacket. His anger seemed to fuel his fire, though. The only other player I can think of that played better with a chip on his shoulder was probably Jackie Robinson. Granted, Jackie's motivation was a wee bit more noble. The question that bears asking is: How much does attitude matter? For every voter, the answer is a little different. For me, if I had a vote, I'd leave Albert Belle on the outside looking in.

EDIT 10:46 AM -- Sorry about all that space between the tables. No idea why that happens, or how to fix it.

EDIT 12:14 PM, 5/5/04 -- Thanks for all the suggestions on repairing my tables. Much appreciated to all who responded so quickly.

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